{"id":2543,"date":"2020-07-01T12:35:15","date_gmt":"2020-07-01T12:35:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ecd.rs\/blog\/jun-2020-godine-tehnicka-analiza-za-bitkoin"},"modified":"2020-10-14T22:21:11","modified_gmt":"2020-10-14T22:21:11","slug":"jun-2020-godine-tehnicka-analiza-za-bitkoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ecd.rs\/en\/blog\/jun-2020-godine-tehnicka-analiza-za-bitkoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Jun 2020 godine – Tehni\u010dka analiza za BITKOIN"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mesec jun za bitcoin<\/em> (bitkoin)\u00a0je bio poprili\u010dno spor. Cena se ceo mesec kretala u opsegu od 8 900$ do 10 200$ i kretanje cene je bilo poprili\u010dno slabo volatilno. Cena i dalje ne mo\u017ee da ostane vi\u0161e od jednog dana preko 10 000$, \u0161to nam govori da na toj ceni trenutno ne postoji dovoljno kupaca koji bi dr\u017eali cenu iznad te zone. Ukoliko u nekom bli\u017eem periodu cena ne uspe da probije veliki otpor izme\u0111u 10 000$ i 10 500$, vrlo lako mo\u017eemo videti ponovno testiranje prethodne podr\u0161ke (support)<\/em> koje se nalazi na ceni oko 9 100$ i ukoliko ga to ne zadr\u017ei vrlo lako mo\u017eemo videti testiranje podr\u0161ke na ceni od oko 8 500$.<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

BTC\/USDT dnevni grafikon. Izvor: Trading View
\n<\/em><\/p>\n

Ukoliko uspemo nekim slu\u010dajem da vidimo probijanje otpora (resistance)<\/em> od 10 500$, slede\u0107a velika zona otpora se nalazi izme\u0111u 11 500$ i 12 000$. Koliko god da grafikon ne izgleda toliko pozitivno (bullish)<\/em> mi i dalje vidimo da cena bitcoin-a<\/em> konstantno pravi vi\u0161e dno (higher low)<\/em> i vi\u0161i vrh (higher high)<\/em> \u0161to prikazuje da je tr\u017ei\u0161te i dalje veoma pozitivno (bullish)<\/em> na cenu.<\/p>\n

Indikatori<\/h3>\n

Na fotografiji ispod mo\u017eemo da vidimo RSI<\/a> indikator \u010diji je cilj da nam pomogne u analiziranju i odre\u0111ivanju snage trenda. Uzimaju\u0107i u obzir prethodni mesec i veoma slabu volatilnost cene, RSI nam trenutno ne daje nove podatke u odnosu na prethodni mesec. Na dnevnom i nedeljnom nivou se i dalje nalazi ispod 60, \u0161to nam pokazuje da cena bitcoin-a<\/em> i dalje nije zvani\u010dno u pozitivnom tr\u017ei\u0161tu.<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

BTC\/USDT RSI nedeljni grafikon. Izvor: Trading View<\/em><\/p>\n

Dokle god se RSI nalazi iznad 40 mi mo\u017eemo smatrati da se cena bitcoin<\/em>-a ne nalazi u negativnom tr\u017ei\u0161tu (Bear Market<\/em>). Zona na RSI izme\u0111u 40 i 60 se smatra neutralnom zonom i trenutno se tu bitcoin<\/em> nalazi. \u010cim vidimo da RSI zatvori nedelju iznad 60 mo\u017eemo zvani\u010dno smatrati da se bitcoin<\/em> nalazi u pozitivnom tr\u017ei\u0161tu (Bull Market<\/em>).<\/p>\n

Indeks straha i pohlepe za bitkoin<\/h3>\n

\"Procentualni<\/p>\n

Procentualni prikaz dobitaka za jun. Izvor: Coin360<\/em><\/p>\n

Iako je jun bio poprili\u010dno slabo volatilan, bitcoin<\/em> ipak bele\u017ei rast od preko 10%. Ethereum<\/em> i chainlink<\/em> su zabele\u017eili rast od preko 20%, dok je ubedljivi pobednik kod ve\u0107ih altcoin<\/a>-a cardano<\/em> (ADA) koji je zabele\u017eio rast od preko 55%. Posmatraju\u0107i samo velike altcoin-e<\/em> skoro svi su u junu zabele\u017eili rast osim XRP-a koji je zabele\u017eio pad od oko 3%.<\/p>\n

Indeks straha i pohlepe za bitkoin<\/h3>\n

Indeks straha i pohlepe nam prikazuje sentiment tr\u017ei\u0161ta na bitcoin-u.<\/em> Koriste\u0107i razli\u010dite ulazne informacije, softver pribli\u017eno prikazuje kakav je sentiment, odnosno da li vlada pohlepa ili strah. Indeks se kre\u0107e od 0 do 100. \u0160to je bli\u017ei nuli ve\u0107i je strah na tr\u017ei\u0161tu. A \u0161to je bli\u017ei broju 100 ve\u0107a je pohlepa na tr\u017ei\u0161tu.<\/p>\n

\"Indeks<\/p>\n

Indeks straha i pohlepe. Izvor: alternative.me<\/em><\/p>\n

Trenutna vrednost indeksa je 50 \u0161to predstavlja neutralni sentiment. Iako je cena veoma visoka, indeks i dalje ne prikazuje pohlepu, \u0161to nam govori da postoji jo\u0161 prostora za rast. Zanimljivost kod ovog indeksa je u tome \u0161to nam on isto mo\u017ee biti od pomo\u0107i da vidimo koliko postoji prostora za rast ili pad. Na primer, ukoliko cena krene da pada, a indeks i dalje ostane u neutralnoj zoni to nam govori da investitori i trejderi nisu jako upla\u0161eni i da postoji jo\u0161 prostora za pad.<\/p>\n

Isto tako mo\u017eemo uzeti obrnutu situaciju koju smo imali prilike da vidimo u jednoj od prethodnih analiza<\/a> gde je cena porasla sa 3 000$ na preko 6 000$, a indeks je i dalje prikazivao veliki strah kod investitora, \u0161to je rezultiralo daljim skokom cene na preko 10 000$. Razlog za\u0161to cena uglavnom ide kontra od onoga \u0161to ve\u0107ina misli, jeste prosta psihologija berze gde ve\u0107ina uvek gubi novac.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mesec jun za bitcoin (bitkoin)\u00a0je bio poprili\u010dno spor. Cena se ceo mesec kretala u opsegu od 8 900$ do 10 200$ i kretanje cene je <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":2010,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[181,217,218,183],"class_list":["post-2543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical-analysis","tag-bitcoin-en","tag-cena-en","tag-grafici-en","tag-tehnicka-analiza-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nJun 2020 godine - Tehni\u010dka analiza za BITKOIN - ECD<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Iako je jun bio poprili\u010dno slabo volatilan, bitkoin ipak bele\u017ei rast od preko 10%. 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