{"id":2561,"date":"2020-04-29T16:37:18","date_gmt":"2020-04-29T16:37:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ecd.rs\/blog\/bitcoin-halving-u-doba-korone"},"modified":"2020-10-16T10:47:47","modified_gmt":"2020-10-16T10:47:47","slug":"bitcoin-halving-u-doba-korone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ecd.rs\/en\/blog\/bitcoin-halving-u-doba-korone\/","title":{"rendered":"“Bitcoin halving” u doba korone"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201eBitcoin halving\u201c u doba korone<\/h2>\n

U poslednjih par meseci smo nau\u010dili da mnoge stvari koje deluju sigurno i nepromenljivo zapravo ne moraju da budu takve. Ove godine ne\u0107emo gledati tenis na Vimbldonu, a olimpijske igre su odlo\u017eene za slede\u0107u godinu. Ipak, i u ovim ludim vremenima postoje stvari za koje mo\u017eemo biti sigurni da \u0107e se dogoditi ta\u010dno kada su bile i planirane. Jedna od njih je prepolovljavanje nagrade za rudare<\/a> bitkoina, poznatije kao \u201ebitcoin halving<\/a>\u201c u ovom slu\u010daju u doba korone.<\/p>\n

Za one kojima je ova tematika nova, samo par re\u010denica o halving-u. \u201eRudari\u201c su ljudi koji svoj hardver koriste za odr\u017eavanje bitkoin mre\u017ee. Za svaki novi blok<\/a> transakcija koji se doda u blok\u010dejn, neko od rudara dobije 12.5 BTC, a to se de\u0161eva otprilike na svakih 10 minuta. Nakon prepolovljavanja nagrade, rudari \u0107e dobijati 6.25 BTC po bloku.<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

\u201eBitcoin halving\u201c je planiran za 11.05., mo\u017eda bude dan-dva pre ili kasnije, ali ne\u0107e odstupiti vi\u0161e od toga. To je ina\u010de ne\u0161to \u0161to je predvi\u0111eno da se de\u0161ava na svake 4 godine, ali se zbog skoro neprekidnog rasta procesorske snage rudara do sada de\u0161avalo u intervalima koji su ne\u0161to kra\u0107i od 4 godine (prethodno prepolovljavanje nagrade se desilo u julu 2016.).<\/p>\n

Pre 4 godine sam pisao<\/a> na ovu temu kada sam od strane Cointelegraph<\/a>-a bio zamoljen da prognoziram uticaj halvinga na cenu. Par meseci kasnije sam napisao i \u010dlanak<\/a> u kojem sam objasnio kako sam uspeo da pogodim kretanje cene.<\/p>\n

Da nema korone, moja prognoza se u principu ne bi razlikovala od prognoze koju sam dao pre 4 godine. Sa koronom, pokazalo se da je te\u0161ko bilo \u0161ta prognozirati. \u010cesto sam govorio da bi bitkoin eksplodirao (u pozitivnom smislu) da je postojao 2008. godine tokom ekonomske krize. I dalje to mislim. Me\u0111utim, kriza sa kojom se sad suo\u010davamo nije ista kao ona od pre 12 godina.
\nTada smo imali krah finansijskog sistema koji je ozbiljno uzdrmao \u010dak i najve\u0107e svetske banke, samim tim i poverenje u bankarski sistem. Alternativa u vidu kriptovaluta bi u tim okolnostima mnogima bila vrlo zanimljiva. Ipak, sada nemamo krizu finansijskog sistema, barem ne jo\u0161 uvek. Iako mnogi prognoziraju da nas \u010deka kriza koja \u0107e biti ozbiljnija od one iz 2008. godine, mislim da malo ko razmi\u0161lja o dugoro\u010dnim posledicama u ovom trenutku i o tome koje investicije \u0107e dugoro\u010dno biti najisplativije.<\/p>\n

Dugoro\u010dno planiranje je u ovim okolnostima luksuz koji retko ko mo\u017ee sebi da priu\u0161ti. U situciji kad su ljudi zabrinuti za svoj \u017eivot i \u017eivot svojih bli\u017enjih, kad su ostali bez posla ili se pla\u0161e da mogu ostati (ili se pla\u0161e da li \u0107e im biznis pre\u017eiveti, ako su vlasnici biznisa), verovatno da retko ko razmi\u0161lja o tome da li je pametnije investirati u zlato ili digitalno zlato (kako mnogi nazivaju bitkoin) i \u0161ta \u0107e za 5 ili 10 godina doneti ve\u0107i profit.<\/p>\n

Zbog \u010dinjenice da je ceo svet zaokupljen virusom, mislim da \u0107e prepolovljavanje nagrade za rudare<\/a> pro\u0107i relativno neopa\u017eeno, pogotovo u mejnstrim medijima. Od po\u010detka krize, cena kriptovaluta se kretala sli\u010dno kao i indeksi na svetskim berzama, \u0161to je \u010dudno, barem gledaju\u0107i istoriju… mada, u svojoj relativno kratkoj istoriji bitkoin se jo\u0161 nije susreo sa koronom, niti bilo \u010dime sli\u010dnim. Kratkoro\u010dno, mislim da \u0107e na cenu bitkoina mnogo vi\u0161e uticati talasi ose\u0107aja panike i optimizma koji \u0107e se na globalnom nivou smenjivati kao posledica daljih de\u0161avanja vezano za koronu, nego prepolovljavanje nagrade za rudare ili bilo \u0161ta drugo \u0161to se de\u0161ava unutar same kripto industrije. Zbog toga, ne bih se usudio da dam bilo kakvu procenu kad je u pitanju kratkoro\u010dno kretanje cene bitkoina.<\/p>\n

Dugoro\u010dno gledano, ja sam ve\u0107 oko 8 godina optimista (uz par kratkotrajnih kriza) kad je bitkoin u pitanju i to korona ne\u0107e promeniti. Kao \u0161to sve pandemije prolaze, pro\u0107i \u0107e i korona, pa \u0107e svet morati da se suo\u010di sa dugoro\u010dnim posledicama svojih kratkoro\u010dnih odluka koje su donete i koje \u0107e biti donete tokom narednih meseci. Ovde ni na koji na\u010din ne \u017eelim da te odluke dovodim u pitanje, jer u ovakvim situacijama ne postoje dobra re\u0161enja, samo manje ili vi\u0161e lo\u0161a. I samo vreme mo\u017ee da poka\u017ee koja su bila kakva. Ipak, koliko god neke odluke bile opravdane ili iznu\u0111ene, one \u0107e imati posledice.<\/p>\n

Ekonomija je stala i mnoge dr\u017eave su ve\u0107 najavile ozbiljno do\u0161tampavanje novca kako bi ponovo pokrenule privredu. Imaju\u0107i u vidu da su i pre tog do\u0161tampavanja, dr\u017eave mahom bile ozbiljno zadu\u017eene, postavlja se pitanje koliko dodatnog zadu\u017eivanja mo\u017ee da se podnese. Ovo \u0107e biti ozbiljan izazov \u010dak i za najja\u010de svetske ekomije, a posebno za one slabije. Iznenadilo bi me da ova kriza ne prouzrokuje ozbiljne nivoe inflacije i devalvacije valuta, pa \u010dak i potpuni bankrot u nekim od zemalja u razvoju. Nikako ne isklju\u010dujem mogu\u0107nost da se tako ne\u0161to desi i u nekoj od razvijenih zemalja. Valuta koja se ne mo\u017ee nekontrolisano do\u0161tampavati i time obezvre\u0111ivati mo\u017ee biti vrlo simpati\u010dna alternativa u tim okolnostima.<\/p>\n

Autor: Aleksandar Matanovi\u0107<\/a>, ECD<\/a> Co-founder & CEO, MSc in Digital Currency<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201eBitcoin halving\u201c u doba korone U poslednjih par meseci smo nau\u010dili da mnoge stvari koje deluju sigurno i nepromenljivo zapravo ne moraju da budu...","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":1647,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[228,176,229,230],"class_list":["post-2561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-information","tag-bitcoin-halving-en","tag-bitkoin-en","tag-nagrada-en","tag-rudari-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n"Bitcoin halving" u doba korone - ECD<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\""Bitcoin halving" u doba korone. 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