{"id":2577,"date":"2020-02-05T10:46:37","date_gmt":"2020-02-05T10:46:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ecd.rs\/blog\/tehnicka-analiza-januar-2020"},"modified":"2020-11-16T12:57:25","modified_gmt":"2020-11-16T12:57:25","slug":"tehnicka-analiza-januar-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ecd.rs\/en\/blog\/tehnicka-analiza-januar-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Januar 2020 – BITKOIN je probio najvi\u0161i nivo 2020. godine"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitkoin je probio najvi\u0161i nivo 2020. godine. Gde se nalazi slede\u0107i otpor?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Ukoliko pogledamo kretanje cene bitkoina<\/a> u poslednjih mesec dana, mo\u017eemo videti da su bikovi (Bulls<\/em>) potpuno preuzeli kontrolu tr\u017ei\u0161ta. Bitkoin konstantno pravi vi\u0161i vrh (Higher<\/em> High<\/em>) i vi\u0161e dno (Higher<\/em> low<\/em>) \u0161to je izuzetno pozitivno. Postavlja se veliko pitanje, dokle mo\u017ee da ide i gde mu se nalazi slede\u0107i otpor\/podr\u0161ka?<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

BTC USD dnevni grafikon. Izvor: TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n

Na slici iznad u ozna\u010denim sivim boksovima da vidimo gde mu se nalaze slede\u0107i otpor i podr\u0161ka. Najve\u0107i otpor \u0107e imati u zoni od 10 000$ – 10 500$ iz vi\u0161e razloga. Prvi razlog je to \u0161to je 10 000$ velika psiholo\u0161ka granica za trejdere i investitore, a drugi razlog je to \u0161to je prethodni vrh napravio oko 10 500$ i iz tog razloga ta zona \u0107e mu biti veoma veliki otpor.
\nUkoliko se bitkoin odlu\u010di da napravi korekciju, veoma veliku podr\u0161ku mo\u017eemo o\u010dekivati u zoni izme\u0111u 8900$ – 9100$ iz razloga \u0161to mu je ta zona predstavljala veliki otpor i od onog trenutka kada je probijena predstavlja mu podr\u0161ku.<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

BTC USD dnevni grafikon. Izvor: TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n

Ukoliko obratimo pa\u017enju na popularni indikator EMA (Exponential Moving Average) mo\u017eemo videti da vrlo brzo treba da se desi zlatni presek (Golden Cross<\/em>). Zlatni presek predstavlja trenutak kada 55 EMA (narand\u017easta linija) pre\u0111e preko 200 EMA (crvena linija) i istorijski gledano svaki put kada se to desilo videli smo neverovatan skok u ceni. Poslednji put kada se desio zlatni presek, \u0161to mo\u017eemo videti na slici iznad, bitkoin je sko\u010dio neverovatnih 170%.<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

BTC USD nedeljni grafikon. Izvor: TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n

RSI (Relative Strength Index<\/em>) je jedan od najpoznatijih indikatora koji nam prikazuje ja\u010dinu trenda. Vidimo da se na bitkoinu na nedeljnom grafikonu RSI nalazi oko 58 \u0161to je, istorijski gledano, poprili\u010dno pozitivno. Ukoliko pogledamo chart vidimo da zona ispod 40 na RSI je zona gde se bitkoin nalazi u negativnom tr\u017ei\u0161tu (Bear Market<\/em>). Zona izme\u0111u 40 i 53 je neutralna zona. Dokle god se bitkoin nalazi iznad 53 na RSI, on je u pozitivnom tr\u017ei\u0161tu (Bull Market<\/em>).<\/p>\n

\"Bitkoin<\/p>\n

BTC USD nedeljni grafikon. Izvor: TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence<\/em>) je indikatori koji prati trend i mo\u017ee nam dati jasnu sliku u kakvom trendu se nalazi cena. Plava linija predstavlja 12 Moving Average<\/em>, dok crvena linija predstavlja 26 Movin Average<\/em> (prosek kretanja cene). Ove dve linije nam slu\u017ee da nam daju znak kada je mogu\u0107 preokret (reversal<\/em>) trenda. Ukoliko vidimo presek linije, tako \u0161to plava linija padne ispod narand\u017easte, to nam ozna\u010dava po\u010detak negativnog trenda, dok ukoliko vidimo da plava linija prese\u010de naran\u017eastu i ide iznad nje to nam prikazuje po\u010detak pozitivnog trenda. Zeleni i crveni stubi\u0107i (Histogram) nam slu\u017ei da potencijalno predvidimo presek ove 2 linije pre nego \u0161to se desi. Vidimo da se pro\u0161le nedelje desio presek ove dve linije i da Histogram prelazi u zelenu stranu \u0161to nam daje jo\u0161 jedan veoma jak signal da je pozitivno tr\u017ei\u0161te po\u010delo.<\/p>\n

\"Procentualni<\/p>\n

Procentualni prikaz dobitaka u Januaru. Izvor: Coin360<\/em><\/p>\n

Na slici iznad mo\u017eemo videti da je bitkoin u Januaru sko\u010dio 32%, dok su najbolji performeri bili Bitcoin Satoshi Vision<\/em> (BSV) sa skokom od neverovatnih 200%, sledi Bitcoin Cash<\/em> (BCH) sa 93%, Litecoin<\/em> (LTC) i EOS sa preko 60% i Ethereum<\/em> (ETH) sa skromnih 45%.<\/p>\n

\"Index<\/p>\n

Index straha i pohlepe na Bitkoinu<\/a>. Izvor: alternative.me<\/em><\/p>\n

Index straha i pohlepe nam prikazuje kakav je sentiment na tr\u017ei\u0161tu Bitkoina. Index se kre\u0107e od 0 \u2013 100, gde sve \u0161to je bli\u017ee 0 predstavlja strah, dok \u0161to je bli\u017ee 100 predstavlja pohlepu. Verovatno se pitate, kako nam ovo mo\u017ee pomo\u0107i?
\nOdgovor je vrlo jednostavan, ukoliko se vodimo teorijom da 90% trejdera gubi novac na berzi ovaj index nam mo\u017ee biti od pomo\u0107i kada vidimo da je veliki strah da kupimo ili kada vidimo da je velika pohlepa da prodamo. Stara trejderska poslovica ka\u017ee \u201cKupi u strahu, prodaj u pohlepi\u201d. Trenutno se index nalazi na 57 \u0161to predstavlja blagu pohlepu, ali postoji i dalje prostora za rast.<\/p>\n

\"Index<\/p>\n

Index straha i pohlepe. Izvor: alternative.me<\/em><\/p>\n

Mo\u017eemo na primeru videti da kada je index bio preko 90 tada je bio vrh cene Bitkoina (14 000$), dok isto tako vidimo da kada god je index pao ispod 20 da smo videli poprili\u010dne skokove u ceni.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bikoin je probio najvi\u0161i nivo 2020. godine. Gde se nalazi slede\u0107i otpor?
\nUkoliko pogledamo kretanje cene Bitkoina u poslednjih mesec dana, mo\u017eemo...","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1167,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[176,231,252,246,226],"class_list":["post-2577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical-analysis","tag-bitkoin-en","tag-blokcein-en","tag-bull-market-en","tag-index-en","tag-indikator-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nJanuar 2020 - BITKOIN je probio najvi\u0161i nivo 2020. godine - ECD<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tehni\u010dka analiza kretanja cena kriptovaluta, tokom januara 2020 godine. Sa najvecim osvrtom na bitkoin. 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